Stochastic calculus
Introduction.
When you have a function
0 | 1 |
1 | 2 |
2 | 5 |
you can think of the "discrete derivative"
0 | 1 | - |
1 | 2 | 1 |
2 | 5 | 3 |
The usual derivative is not a "real" thing: it emerges when you take increasingly smaller steps
The problem of recover
General diagram
%%{init: {'themeVariables': { 'fontSize': '13px', 'nodeSpacing': 30, 'rankSpacing': 25 }}}%% graph TD A["Stochastic Process"] subgraph Discrete-Time C["Markov Chain"] D["Random Walk"] end subgraph Continuous-Time G["Semimartingale"] E["Brownian Motion"] end A -->|Markov property| B["Markov Process"] B --> C C --> D B --> G G --> E %% Random Walk approximation to Brownian D -.->|scaling limit| E %% Itô Integral as operator G -.->|Itô integral operator| H["New Processes"] %% Outputs: Martingales, SDEs, Diffusions H --> F["Martingale"] H --> I["Itô Diffusion"] %% Style classDef operator fill:#f9f,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px; class G,H,J operator
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stochastic process: A collection of random variables indexed by time, representing systems evolving over time with inherent randomness.
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Markov process: A type of stochastic process where the future state depends only on the current state, not on the sequence of events that preceded it (memoryless property).
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Markov chain: A discrete-time Markov process with a countable state space, often used to model systems that transition from one state to another with certain probabilities.
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random walk: A specific type of Markov chain where each step is determined randomly, often used to model phenomena like stock prices or particle movement.
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Brownian motion: A continuous-time stochastic process with continuous paths and stationary, independent increments, serving as a fundamental example of a Markov process and a semimartingale.
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Semimartingales: A broad class of stochastic processes that generalize martingales and are suitable for defining stochastic integrals, including processes with jumps.
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Itô integral: A construction used to integrate with respect to Brownian motion (or more general semimartingales) giving rise to new stochastic processes, foundational for stochastic calculus. It is defined in a way that accounts for the randomness in the integrator.
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martingales: A class of stochastic processes where the future expected value, given all past information, is equal to the current value. They are often obtained as outcomes of Itô integrals.
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Itô Diffusions: Solutions to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by Brownian motion, representing systems influenced by both deterministic and random factors.
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stochastic ordinary differential equation: Equations that describe the evolution of stochastic processes, incorporating both deterministic trends and random fluctuations. They are the formalism used to model Itô diffusions.